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    Verdict: Invest

    Română
    NYSE · United States

    International Business Machines (IBM)

    Software

    InvestableWait
    $232.14
    Close
    Oct 16, 2026
    -0.85% last session
    Reported revenue
    $17.16 bn
    Q2 2026
    Annual revenue growth
    1.1%
    Q2 2026
    Operating margin
    17.3%
    Q2 2026
    Reported P/E
    20.02×
    2026-10-14
    PRICE PERFORMANCE

    1.Share price

    $227.88-$48.27 (-17.48%)from period start
    One year of daily closes$344$293$242$191Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26

    Daily closes, adjusted for stock splits. Price return excludes dividends. Hover or tap to explore.

    2.Company news

    View all
    OUR VERDICT

    3.Our verdict

    Waiting for a better price

    The published targets do not meet our required upside.

    Assessed at $232.14 · 12-month horizon

    Analyst price targets · 12 months

    Published analyst targets, compared with our dated share price.

    Average target
    $242.65
    Price potential
    +4.5%
    Analysts
    25
    Low–high range
    $174.00$297.00
    Historical SPY reference · 5 years
    +11.1%
    Average target versus SPY hurdle
    -6.6 pp
    Buy threshold below
    $208.45

    Why now

    • The company delivers the operating progress reflected in analyst expectations.

    What would change our view

    • Analyst targets or the reported financial position deteriorate.
    RESEARCH AT PUBLICATION

    4.Investment case at publication

    IBM’s enterprise foothold gives cloud and AI a powerful platform

    Software, consulting and mainframes connect IBM to essential customer workloads, while the June quarter shows that growing revenue does not automatically protect profitability.

    IBM’s opportunity is to bring hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence into the critical technology systems it already helps customers operate. Its breadth and relationships support that opportunity, but sustained business progress requires healthier operating profitability and dependable cash generation.

    1. IBM combines enterprise software, consulting and hardware with a broad partner network and customer financing.

    2. Revenue increased against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year, but operating margin and reported diluted earnings per share declined.

    3. Operating cash flow increased against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year; borrowing obligations and technology execution remain important risks.

    5.Latest quarter

    The reported fiscal quarter ended in June brought higher revenue but weaker operating profitability than the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. Reported diluted earnings per share also declined against that baseline.

    Massive’s consolidated statements show a profitable business, but the quarter does not establish stronger economics merely because sales grew. The key tension is how much profit IBM retains from the work it sells.

    Published financial metrics and reporting periods
    MetricPeriodValue
    Reported revenueQ2 2026$17.16 bn
    Annual revenue growthQ2 20261.1%
    Reported operating incomeQ2 2026$2.97 bn
    Operating marginQ2 202617.3%
    Profit per share, after dilutionQ2 2026$2.27

    6.The business

    IBM sells software, consulting services and hardware that help businesses modernize their technology.

    We like IBM’s position where enterprise ambition meets essential infrastructure. Red Hat, watsonx and mainframes give it a compelling toolkit for bringing cloud and AI into the workloads customers depend on. Its industry knowledge and broad partner network make that opportunity especially exciting.

    IBM also provides client and commercial financing to help customers acquire hardware, software and services. That adds a financial activity alongside its technology businesses, with exposure to customer creditworthiness.

    7.Growth

    Consolidated revenue increased against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. Product and segment revenue figures are unavailable here, so the increase cannot be attributed to Red Hat, watsonx, mainframes or consulting.

    IBM’s latest annual filing describes partnerships with major cloud operators, service providers and technology vendors. These relationships support its reach, but the filing also describes new competitors entering its hybrid cloud and AI markets.

    Revenue history

    $ bn
    Revenue
    Revenue historyConsolidated reported quarterly revenue; compare the same fiscal quarter across years. Unit: $ bn.$20.9$15.6$10.4$5.2$0Q3 2023 · Revenue: $14.75 bnQ4 2023 · Revenue: $17.38 bnQ1 2024 · Revenue: $14.46 bnQ2 2024 · Revenue: $15.77 bnQ3 2024 · Revenue: $14.97 bnQ4 2024 · Revenue: $17.55 bnQ1 2025 · Revenue: $14.54 bnQ2 2025 · Revenue: $16.98 bnQ3 2025 · Revenue: $16.33 bnQ4 2025 · Revenue: $19.69 bnQ1 2026 · Revenue: $15.92 bnQ2 2026 · Revenue: $17.16 bnQ3 2023Q1 2024Q3 2024Q2 2025Q4 2025Q2 2026Revenue historyConsolidated reported quarterly revenue; compare the same fiscal quarter across years. Unit: $ bn.$20.9$15.6$10.4$5.2$0Q3 2023 · Revenue: $14.75 bnQ4 2023 · Revenue: $17.38 bnQ1 2024 · Revenue: $14.46 bnQ2 2024 · Revenue: $15.77 bnQ3 2024 · Revenue: $14.97 bnQ4 2024 · Revenue: $17.55 bnQ1 2025 · Revenue: $14.54 bnQ2 2025 · Revenue: $16.98 bnQ3 2025 · Revenue: $16.33 bnQ4 2025 · Revenue: $19.69 bnQ1 2026 · Revenue: $15.92 bnQ2 2026 · Revenue: $17.16 bnQ3 2023Q1 2025Q2 2026

    Consolidated reported quarterly revenue; compare the same fiscal quarter across years.

    View chart data
    Revenue history
    PeriodRevenue ($ bn)
    Q3 2023$14.75
    Q4 2023$17.38
    Q1 2024$14.46
    Q2 2024$15.77
    Q3 2024$14.97
    Q4 2024$17.55
    Q1 2025$14.54
    Q2 2025$16.98
    Q3 2025$16.33
    Q4 2025$19.69
    Q1 2026$15.92
    Q2 2026$17.16

    8.Profitability

    Operating margin, the share of revenue left as reported operating profit, declined against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. Reported operating income also fell against that baseline despite higher sales.

    The consolidated figures do not explain which products or costs caused the pressure. IBM identifies innovation, performance, price, talent and support as competitive factors, making profitable execution more demanding than simply maintaining a broad offering.

    Operating margin

    %
    Operating margin
    Operating marginReported consolidated operating income divided by revenue. Missing provider fields remain unavailable. Unit: %.2618103-5Q3 2023 · Operating margin: 14.2 %Q4 2023 · Operating margin: 17.3 %Q1 2024 · Operating margin: 7.43 %Q2 2024 · Operating margin: 16.78 %Q3 2024 · Operating margin: -2.49 %Q4 2024 · Operating margin: 21.25 %Q1 2025 · Operating margin: 11.09 %Q2 2025 · Operating margin: 18.3 %Q3 2025 · Operating margin: 17.89 %Q4 2025 · Operating margin: 23.47 %Q1 2026 · Operating margin: 11.69 %Q2 2026 · Operating margin: 17.28 %Q3 2023Q1 2024Q3 2024Q2 2025Q4 2025Q2 2026Operating marginReported consolidated operating income divided by revenue. Missing provider fields remain unavailable. Unit: %.2618103-5Q3 2023 · Operating margin: 14.2 %Q4 2023 · Operating margin: 17.3 %Q1 2024 · Operating margin: 7.43 %Q2 2024 · Operating margin: 16.78 %Q3 2024 · Operating margin: -2.49 %Q4 2024 · Operating margin: 21.25 %Q1 2025 · Operating margin: 11.09 %Q2 2025 · Operating margin: 18.3 %Q3 2025 · Operating margin: 17.89 %Q4 2025 · Operating margin: 23.47 %Q1 2026 · Operating margin: 11.69 %Q2 2026 · Operating margin: 17.28 %Q3 2023Q1 2025Q2 2026

    Reported consolidated operating income divided by revenue. Missing provider fields remain unavailable.

    View chart data
    Operating margin
    PeriodOperating margin (%)
    Q3 202314.2
    Q4 202317.3
    Q1 20247.43
    Q2 202416.78
    Q3 2024-2.49
    Q4 202421.25
    Q1 202511.09
    Q2 202518.3
    Q3 202517.89
    Q4 202523.47
    Q1 202611.69
    Q2 202617.28

    9.Earnings

    Reported diluted earnings per share declined against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. This measure spreads reported earnings across the weighted-average diluted share count; it is not an adjusted earnings figure.

    Other non-operating income was negative in the reported fiscal quarter. The available fields do not provide a complete explanation of the difference between operating profit and consolidated net income.

    Published financial metrics and reporting periods
    MetricPeriodValue
    Other non-operating incomeQ2 2026$0 bn
    Reported consolidated net incomeQ2 2026$2.17 bn
    Average shares, including potential dilutionQ2 20260.95 bn shares

    Reported diluted EPS

    $
    Diluted EPS
    Reported diluted EPSThe published provider EPS field. No ADR, currency or adjusted-earnings conversion is inferred. Unit: $.$6.1$4.4$2.7$1-$0.7Q3 2023 · Diluted EPS: $1.84Q4 2023 · Diluted EPS: $3.55Q1 2024 · Diluted EPS: $1.72Q2 2024 · Diluted EPS: $1.96Q3 2024 · Diluted EPS: -$0.36Q4 2024 · Diluted EPS: $3.04Q1 2025 · Diluted EPS: $1.14Q2 2025 · Diluted EPS: $2.31Q3 2025 · Diluted EPS: $1.87Q4 2025 · Diluted EPS: $5.69Q1 2026 · Diluted EPS: $1.3Q2 2026 · Diluted EPS: $2.27Q3 2023Q1 2024Q3 2024Q2 2025Q4 2025Q2 2026Reported diluted EPSThe published provider EPS field. No ADR, currency or adjusted-earnings conversion is inferred. Unit: $.$6.1$4.4$2.7$1-$0.7Q3 2023 · Diluted EPS: $1.84Q4 2023 · Diluted EPS: $3.55Q1 2024 · Diluted EPS: $1.72Q2 2024 · Diluted EPS: $1.96Q3 2024 · Diluted EPS: -$0.36Q4 2024 · Diluted EPS: $3.04Q1 2025 · Diluted EPS: $1.14Q2 2025 · Diluted EPS: $2.31Q3 2025 · Diluted EPS: $1.87Q4 2025 · Diluted EPS: $5.69Q1 2026 · Diluted EPS: $1.3Q2 2026 · Diluted EPS: $2.27Q3 2023Q1 2025Q2 2026

    The published provider EPS field. No ADR, currency or adjusted-earnings conversion is inferred.

    View chart data
    Reported diluted EPS
    PeriodDiluted EPS ($)
    Q3 2023$1.84
    Q4 2023$3.55
    Q1 2024$1.72
    Q2 2024$1.96
    Q3 2024-$0.36
    Q4 2024$3.04
    Q1 2025$1.14
    Q2 2025$2.31
    Q3 2025$1.87
    Q4 2025$5.69
    Q1 2026$1.3
    Q2 2026$2.27

    10.Cash flow

    For the reported fiscal quarter ended in June, operating cash flow increased against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. Cash remaining after gross purchases of property, plant and equipment also increased against that baseline, despite higher gross purchases.

    For the trailing twelve months ended at June quarter-end, operating cash flow exceeded gross cash purchases of property, plant and equipment. This derived remainder excludes asset sales, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments. It is not IBM’s issuer-defined free cash flow or a complete measure of investment.

    Published financial metrics and reporting periods
    MetricPeriodValue
    Cash generated by operationsTTM 2026-06-30$14.89 bn
    Cash after investmentsTTM 2026-06-30$13.79 bn
    Cash generated by operationsQ2 2026$2.6 bn
    Building and equipment investmentsQ2 2026$0.23 bn
    Cash after investmentsQ2 2026$2.37 bn

    Cash generated versus cash invested

    $ bn
    Operating cash flowGross cash PPE purchasesOCF less gross PPE purchases
    Cash generated versus cash investedMassive reported quarterly operating cash flow less gross cash PPE purchases, calculated in code. PPE sales, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments are excluded. This is separate from a broader issuer-defined productive-assets cash measure. Missing fields remain unavailable. Unit: $ bn.$5.6$4.1$2.7$1.3-$0.2Q3 2024 · Operating cash flow: $2.88 bnQ4 2024 · Operating cash flow: $4.33 bnQ1 2025 · Operating cash flow: $4.37 bnQ2 2025 · Operating cash flow: $1.7 bnQ3 2025 · Operating cash flow: $3.08 bnQ4 2025 · Operating cash flow: $4.04 bnQ1 2026 · Operating cash flow: $5.17 bnQ2 2026 · Operating cash flow: $2.6 bnQ3 2024 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.29 bnQ4 2024 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.3 bnQ1 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.24 bnQ2 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.21 bnQ3 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.26 bnQ4 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.38 bnQ1 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.23 bnQ2 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.23 bnQ3 2024 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $2.6 bnQ4 2024 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $4.03 bnQ1 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $4.13 bnQ2 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $1.49 bnQ3 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $2.83 bnQ4 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $3.66 bnQ1 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $4.94 bnQ2 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $2.37 bnQ3 2024Q4 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026Cash generated versus cash investedMassive reported quarterly operating cash flow less gross cash PPE purchases, calculated in code. PPE sales, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments are excluded. This is separate from a broader issuer-defined productive-assets cash measure. Missing fields remain unavailable. Unit: $ bn.$5.6$4.1$2.7$1.3-$0.2Q3 2024 · Operating cash flow: $2.88 bnQ4 2024 · Operating cash flow: $4.33 bnQ1 2025 · Operating cash flow: $4.37 bnQ2 2025 · Operating cash flow: $1.7 bnQ3 2025 · Operating cash flow: $3.08 bnQ4 2025 · Operating cash flow: $4.04 bnQ1 2026 · Operating cash flow: $5.17 bnQ2 2026 · Operating cash flow: $2.6 bnQ3 2024 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.29 bnQ4 2024 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.3 bnQ1 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.24 bnQ2 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.21 bnQ3 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.26 bnQ4 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.38 bnQ1 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.23 bnQ2 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.23 bnQ3 2024 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $2.6 bnQ4 2024 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $4.03 bnQ1 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $4.13 bnQ2 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $1.49 bnQ3 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $2.83 bnQ4 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $3.66 bnQ1 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $4.94 bnQ2 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $2.37 bnQ3 2024Q3 2025Q2 2026

    Massive reported quarterly operating cash flow less gross cash PPE purchases, calculated in code. PPE sales, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments are excluded. This is separate from a broader issuer-defined productive-assets cash measure. Missing fields remain unavailable.

    View chart data
    Cash generated versus cash invested
    PeriodOperating cash flow ($ bn)Gross cash PPE purchases ($ bn)OCF less gross PPE purchases ($ bn)
    Q3 2024$2.88$0.29$2.6
    Q4 2024$4.33$0.3$4.03
    Q1 2025$4.37$0.24$4.13
    Q2 2025$1.7$0.21$1.49
    Q3 2025$3.08$0.26$2.83
    Q4 2025$4.04$0.38$3.66
    Q1 2026$5.17$0.23$4.94
    Q2 2026$2.6$0.23$2.37

    11.Balance sheet

    At June quarter-end, cash and short-term investments provided liquidity, while noncurrent debt and capital lease obligations represented a substantial financing commitment. Current borrowings also require attention alongside operating cash generation.

    The available balance-sheet fields do not separate obligations associated with customer financing from other obligations. IBM’s latest annual filing identifies credit losses, acquisition integration, retained liabilities and higher debt levels as relevant risks.

    Published financial metrics and reporting periods
    MetricPeriodValue
    Cash and readily available funds2026-06-30$7.17 bn
    Short-term investments2026-06-30$0.96 bn
    Short-term debt2026-06-30$5.78 bn
    Long-term debt and leases2026-06-30$56.21 bn

    12.Valuation

    The current analyst targets and SPY comparison are shown in Our verdict.

    View the current assessment

    13.What we are watching

    Watch whether revenue growth is accompanied by healthier operating margins when compared with the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. Product-level evidence would help establish where IBM’s cloud and AI opportunity is becoming actual business progress.

    Also watch cash generation, borrowing obligations and customer credit quality. Cybersecurity failures, limited sources for some server technology and difficult acquisition integration could disrupt the trust and delivery capabilities IBM relies on.