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Oct 16, 2026
- Reported revenue
- $3.63 bn Q4 2026
- Annual revenue growth
- 48.5% Q4 2026
- Operating margin
- 43% Q4 2026
- Reported P/E
- 50.96× 2026-10-14
1.Share price
Daily closes, adjusted for stock splits. Price return excludes dividends. Hover or tap to explore.
2.Company news
View allSeagate Technology Holdings Falls 9.2% and Trails the Market
Seagate fell against a rising market as reports of Toshiba’s expansion plans weighed on memory stocks, putting storage competition in focus.
Seagate’s July quarter puts the spotlight on storage economics
The hard-drive maker retained more profit from sales than in the same fiscal quarter of the prior year, while its annual filing explains the importance of nearline demand and pricing.
3.Our verdict
Yes — we would buy at this price.
We like Seagate’s ability to turn storage engineering into products it can manufacture itself. Its strongest opportunity is to put advanced storage technology into customers’ evolving systems, with nearline drives at the heart of that push. This is a tangible industrial business with a compelling role in storing the data customers need.
Analysts’ average target is $1,138.00, 64.7% above the $690.81 reference price on Oct 15, 2026.
Analyst price targets · 12 months
Published analyst targets, compared with our dated share price.
- Average target
- $1,138.00
- Price potential
- +64.7%
- Analysts
- 26
- Low–high range
- $700.00$1,600.00
- Historical SPY reference · 5 years
- +11.6%
- Average target versus SPY hurdle
- 53.2 pp
- Buy threshold below
- $984.82
4.Investment case at publication
Seagate’s storage engine gains traction beyond the factory floor
Demand for nearline drives and favorable pricing supported the latest fiscal year, while concentrated customers and committed inventory purchases remain important business risks.
Seagate’s opportunity lies in meeting customers’ evolving storage needs through integrated engineering, manufacturing and advanced storage technology. The July-ending fiscal quarter shows substantial operating profitability and cash generation, but lasting business quality depends on maintaining product competitiveness and spending flexibility.
Revenue and operating margin improved in the July-ending fiscal quarter against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year.
The latest annual filing attributes revenue growth against the preceding fiscal year to greater nearline storage shipments and favorable pricing actions.
Customer concentration, alternative storage technologies and non-cancellable inventory commitments are the main constraints on business resilience.
5.Latest quarter
Seagate’s July-ending fiscal quarter produced higher revenue and operating income than the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. Operating margin also improved against that baseline, meaning the company retained more operating profit from each sale.
Reported diluted earnings per share rose against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. The consolidated statements establish the result, but do not explain how much individual products contributed.
| Metric | Period | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Reported revenue | Q4 2026 | $3.63 bn |
| Annual revenue growth | Q4 2026 | 48.5% |
| Reported operating income | Q4 2026 | $1.56 bn |
| Operating margin | Q4 2026 | 43% |
| Profit per share, after dilution | Q4 2026 | $5.55 |
6.The business
Seagate makes hard disk drives and storage solutions for enterprise and consumer customers.
We like Seagate’s ability to turn storage engineering into products it can manufacture itself. Its strongest opportunity is to put advanced storage technology into customers’ evolving systems, with nearline drives at the heart of that push. This is a tangible industrial business with a compelling role in storing the data customers need.
The company earns revenue by selling drives and storage solutions. Its position alongside Western Digital makes the hard-drive market concentrated, but the latest annual filing also identifies Toshiba, flash-memory suppliers and storage-system providers as competitors.
7.Growth
The latest fiscal year ended in July delivered revenue growth against the preceding fiscal year ended in June. Seagate’s annual filing attributes that increase primarily to greater storage capacity shipped in nearline products, reflecting higher demand, and favorable pricing actions.
That explanation matters because it identifies demand and pricing as annual growth drivers. It should not be treated as a precise explanation of the July-ending fiscal quarter, for which a product-level revenue breakdown is unavailable.
Revenue history
$ bnConsolidated reported quarterly revenue; compare the same fiscal quarter across years.
View chart data
| Period | Revenue ($ bn) |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | $1.45 |
| Q2 2024 | $1.56 |
| Q3 2024 | $1.66 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.89 |
| Q1 2025 | $2.17 |
| Q2 2025 | $2.33 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.16 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.44 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.63 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.83 |
| Q3 2026 | $3.11 |
| Q4 2026 | $3.63 |
8.Profitability
Operating margin improved in the reported fiscal quarter against both the preceding fiscal quarter and the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. The business kept more revenue after operating expenses under each comparison.
Integrated engineering and manufacturing are important capabilities, but they do not establish permanent pricing power. Seagate’s earlier annual filing explains that introducing a new drive ahead of competitors can support favorable margins until comparable products arrive.
Operating margin
%Reported consolidated operating income divided by revenue. Missing provider fields remain unavailable.
View chart data
| Period | Operating margin (%) |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | -8.87 |
| Q2 2024 | 7.97 |
| Q3 2024 | 8.64 |
| Q4 2024 | 16.64 |
| Q1 2025 | 18.59 |
| Q2 2025 | 20.99 |
| Q3 2025 | 19.95 |
| Q4 2025 | 23.24 |
| Q1 2026 | 26.4 |
| Q2 2026 | 29.84 |
| Q3 2026 | 32.07 |
| Q4 2026 | 42.96 |
9.Earnings
Reported consolidated net income was positive in the July-ending fiscal quarter. Diluted earnings per share, which spread reported earnings across the diluted share base, improved against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year.
The reported other non-operating income field did not add to the quarter’s result. Operating income and net income remain distinct measures, and the available fields do not support a complete explanation of the gap between them.
| Metric | Period | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Other non-operating income | Q4 2026 | $0 bn |
| Reported consolidated net income | Q4 2026 | $1.29 bn |
| Average shares, including potential dilution | Q4 2026 | 0.23 bn shares |
Reported diluted EPS
$The published provider EPS field. No ADR, currency or adjusted-earnings conversion is inferred.
View chart data
| Period | Diluted EPS ($) |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | -$0.88 |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.09 |
| Q3 2024 | $0.12 |
| Q4 2024 | $2.35 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.41 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.55 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.57 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.23 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.43 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.6 |
| Q3 2026 | $3.27 |
| Q4 2026 | $5.55 |
10.Cash flow
For the reported July-ending fiscal quarter, operating cash flow increased against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. Gross cash purchases of property, plant and equipment also increased against that baseline, while cash remaining after those purchases improved.
For the trailing twelve months ended at quarter-end, operating cash flow exceeded gross cash purchases of property, plant and equipment. The resulting measure excludes equipment sales, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments. It is not Seagate’s issuer-defined free cash flow.
For the latest fiscal year ended in July, the annual filing reports dividends and share repurchases alongside operating cash generation. These uses of cash must be considered separately from investment in manufacturing assets and advanced storage technology.
| Metric | Period | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Cash generated by operations | TTM 2026-07-03 | $3.67 bn |
| Cash after investments | TTM 2026-07-03 | $3.11 bn |
| Cash generated by operations | Q4 2026 | $1.31 bn |
| Building and equipment investments | Q4 2026 | $0.19 bn |
| Cash after investments | Q4 2026 | $1.12 bn |
Cash generated versus cash invested
$ bnMassive reported quarterly operating cash flow less gross cash PPE purchases, calculated in code. PPE sales, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments are excluded. This is separate from a broader issuer-defined productive-assets cash measure. Missing fields remain unavailable.
View chart data
| Period | Operating cash flow ($ bn) | Gross cash PPE purchases ($ bn) | OCF less gross PPE purchases ($ bn) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | $0.1 | $0.07 | $0.03 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.22 | $0.07 | $0.15 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.26 | $0.04 | $0.22 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.51 | $0.08 | $0.43 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.53 | $0.11 | $0.43 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.72 | $0.12 | $0.61 |
| Q3 2026 | $1.11 | $0.16 | $0.95 |
| Q4 2026 | $1.31 | $0.19 | $1.12 |
11.Balance sheet
At the July quarter-end, cash exceeded current borrowings but remained below combined current borrowings and noncurrent debt and capital lease obligations. Most reported borrowing obligations were noncurrent.
The latest annual filing also identifies long-term, market-share-based inventory purchase commitments that cannot be cancelled. Those commitments can restrict spending flexibility if customer requirements change.
A major customer accounted for a material share of the latest fiscal year’s revenue. Limited component suppliers, tariffs and currency movements add exposure on the production side.
| Metric | Period | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Cash and readily available funds | 2026-07-03 | $1.7 bn |
| Short-term investments | 2026-07-03 | $0 bn |
| Short-term debt | 2026-07-03 | $0.19 bn |
| Long-term debt and leases | 2026-07-03 | $3.38 bn |
12.Valuation
The current analyst targets and SPY comparison are shown in Our verdict.
View the current assessment13.What we are watching
Watch whether nearline demand and pricing continue to support revenue, and whether new storage products retain their competitive appeal as rival offerings arrive.
The clearest evidence of resilience will be operating profitability backed by cash after gross equipment purchases, alongside manageable borrowing and inventory commitments. Customer concentration and component availability deserve attention even when reported results are strong.