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    Verdict: Invest

    Română
    NASDAQ · United States

    Seagate Technology Holdings (STX)

    Computer Hardware

    High QualityTimely Buy
    $639.01
    Close
    Oct 16, 2026
    -7.5% last session
    Reported revenue
    $3.63 bn
    Q4 2026
    Annual revenue growth
    48.5%
    Q4 2026
    Operating margin
    43%
    Q4 2026
    Reported P/E
    50.96×
    2026-10-14
    PRICE PERFORMANCE

    1.Share price

    $713.54+$501.91 (+237.16%)from period start
    One year of daily closes$1,200$835$470$106Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26

    Daily closes, adjusted for stock splits. Price return excludes dividends. Hover or tap to explore.

    2.Company news

    View all
    OUR VERDICT

    3.Our verdict

    Yes — we would buy at this price.

    We like Seagate’s ability to turn storage engineering into products it can manufacture itself. Its strongest opportunity is to put advanced storage technology into customers’ evolving systems, with nearline drives at the heart of that push. This is a tangible industrial business with a compelling role in storing the data customers need.

    Analysts’ average target is $1,138.00, 64.7% above the $690.81 reference price on Oct 15, 2026.

    Assessed at $690.81 · 12-month horizon

    Analyst price targets · 12 months

    Published analyst targets, compared with our dated share price.

    Average target
    $1,138.00
    Price potential
    +64.7%
    Analysts
    26
    Low–high range
    $700.00$1,600.00
    Historical SPY reference · 5 years
    +11.6%
    Average target versus SPY hurdle
    53.2 pp
    Buy threshold below
    $984.82
    RESEARCH AT PUBLICATION

    4.Investment case at publication

    Seagate’s storage engine gains traction beyond the factory floor

    Demand for nearline drives and favorable pricing supported the latest fiscal year, while concentrated customers and committed inventory purchases remain important business risks.

    Seagate’s opportunity lies in meeting customers’ evolving storage needs through integrated engineering, manufacturing and advanced storage technology. The July-ending fiscal quarter shows substantial operating profitability and cash generation, but lasting business quality depends on maintaining product competitiveness and spending flexibility.

    1. Revenue and operating margin improved in the July-ending fiscal quarter against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year.

    2. The latest annual filing attributes revenue growth against the preceding fiscal year to greater nearline storage shipments and favorable pricing actions.

    3. Customer concentration, alternative storage technologies and non-cancellable inventory commitments are the main constraints on business resilience.

    5.Latest quarter

    Seagate’s July-ending fiscal quarter produced higher revenue and operating income than the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. Operating margin also improved against that baseline, meaning the company retained more operating profit from each sale.

    Reported diluted earnings per share rose against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. The consolidated statements establish the result, but do not explain how much individual products contributed.

    Published financial metrics and reporting periods
    MetricPeriodValue
    Reported revenueQ4 2026$3.63 bn
    Annual revenue growthQ4 202648.5%
    Reported operating incomeQ4 2026$1.56 bn
    Operating marginQ4 202643%
    Profit per share, after dilutionQ4 2026$5.55

    6.The business

    Seagate makes hard disk drives and storage solutions for enterprise and consumer customers.

    We like Seagate’s ability to turn storage engineering into products it can manufacture itself. Its strongest opportunity is to put advanced storage technology into customers’ evolving systems, with nearline drives at the heart of that push. This is a tangible industrial business with a compelling role in storing the data customers need.

    The company earns revenue by selling drives and storage solutions. Its position alongside Western Digital makes the hard-drive market concentrated, but the latest annual filing also identifies Toshiba, flash-memory suppliers and storage-system providers as competitors.

    7.Growth

    The latest fiscal year ended in July delivered revenue growth against the preceding fiscal year ended in June. Seagate’s annual filing attributes that increase primarily to greater storage capacity shipped in nearline products, reflecting higher demand, and favorable pricing actions.

    That explanation matters because it identifies demand and pricing as annual growth drivers. It should not be treated as a precise explanation of the July-ending fiscal quarter, for which a product-level revenue breakdown is unavailable.

    Revenue history

    $ bn
    Revenue
    Revenue historyConsolidated reported quarterly revenue; compare the same fiscal quarter across years. Unit: $ bn.$3.85$2.89$1.92$0.96$0Q1 2024 · Revenue: $1.45 bnQ2 2024 · Revenue: $1.56 bnQ3 2024 · Revenue: $1.66 bnQ4 2024 · Revenue: $1.89 bnQ1 2025 · Revenue: $2.17 bnQ2 2025 · Revenue: $2.33 bnQ3 2025 · Revenue: $2.16 bnQ4 2025 · Revenue: $2.44 bnQ1 2026 · Revenue: $2.63 bnQ2 2026 · Revenue: $2.83 bnQ3 2026 · Revenue: $3.11 bnQ4 2026 · Revenue: $3.63 bnQ1 2024Q3 2024Q1 2025Q4 2025Q2 2026Q4 2026Revenue historyConsolidated reported quarterly revenue; compare the same fiscal quarter across years. Unit: $ bn.$3.85$2.89$1.92$0.96$0Q1 2024 · Revenue: $1.45 bnQ2 2024 · Revenue: $1.56 bnQ3 2024 · Revenue: $1.66 bnQ4 2024 · Revenue: $1.89 bnQ1 2025 · Revenue: $2.17 bnQ2 2025 · Revenue: $2.33 bnQ3 2025 · Revenue: $2.16 bnQ4 2025 · Revenue: $2.44 bnQ1 2026 · Revenue: $2.63 bnQ2 2026 · Revenue: $2.83 bnQ3 2026 · Revenue: $3.11 bnQ4 2026 · Revenue: $3.63 bnQ1 2024Q3 2025Q4 2026

    Consolidated reported quarterly revenue; compare the same fiscal quarter across years.

    View chart data
    Revenue history
    PeriodRevenue ($ bn)
    Q1 2024$1.45
    Q2 2024$1.56
    Q3 2024$1.66
    Q4 2024$1.89
    Q1 2025$2.17
    Q2 2025$2.33
    Q3 2025$2.16
    Q4 2025$2.44
    Q1 2026$2.63
    Q2 2026$2.83
    Q3 2026$3.11
    Q4 2026$3.63

    8.Profitability

    Operating margin improved in the reported fiscal quarter against both the preceding fiscal quarter and the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. The business kept more revenue after operating expenses under each comparison.

    Integrated engineering and manufacturing are important capabilities, but they do not establish permanent pricing power. Seagate’s earlier annual filing explains that introducing a new drive ahead of competitors can support favorable margins until comparable products arrive.

    Operating margin

    %
    Operating margin
    Operating marginReported consolidated operating income divided by revenue. Missing provider fields remain unavailable. Unit: %.4732172-13Q1 2024 · Operating margin: -8.87 %Q2 2024 · Operating margin: 7.97 %Q3 2024 · Operating margin: 8.64 %Q4 2024 · Operating margin: 16.64 %Q1 2025 · Operating margin: 18.59 %Q2 2025 · Operating margin: 20.99 %Q3 2025 · Operating margin: 19.95 %Q4 2025 · Operating margin: 23.24 %Q1 2026 · Operating margin: 26.4 %Q2 2026 · Operating margin: 29.84 %Q3 2026 · Operating margin: 32.07 %Q4 2026 · Operating margin: 42.96 %Q1 2024Q3 2024Q1 2025Q4 2025Q2 2026Q4 2026Operating marginReported consolidated operating income divided by revenue. Missing provider fields remain unavailable. Unit: %.4732172-13Q1 2024 · Operating margin: -8.87 %Q2 2024 · Operating margin: 7.97 %Q3 2024 · Operating margin: 8.64 %Q4 2024 · Operating margin: 16.64 %Q1 2025 · Operating margin: 18.59 %Q2 2025 · Operating margin: 20.99 %Q3 2025 · Operating margin: 19.95 %Q4 2025 · Operating margin: 23.24 %Q1 2026 · Operating margin: 26.4 %Q2 2026 · Operating margin: 29.84 %Q3 2026 · Operating margin: 32.07 %Q4 2026 · Operating margin: 42.96 %Q1 2024Q3 2025Q4 2026

    Reported consolidated operating income divided by revenue. Missing provider fields remain unavailable.

    View chart data
    Operating margin
    PeriodOperating margin (%)
    Q1 2024-8.87
    Q2 20247.97
    Q3 20248.64
    Q4 202416.64
    Q1 202518.59
    Q2 202520.99
    Q3 202519.95
    Q4 202523.24
    Q1 202626.4
    Q2 202629.84
    Q3 202632.07
    Q4 202642.96

    9.Earnings

    Reported consolidated net income was positive in the July-ending fiscal quarter. Diluted earnings per share, which spread reported earnings across the diluted share base, improved against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year.

    The reported other non-operating income field did not add to the quarter’s result. Operating income and net income remain distinct measures, and the available fields do not support a complete explanation of the gap between them.

    Published financial metrics and reporting periods
    MetricPeriodValue
    Other non-operating incomeQ4 2026$0 bn
    Reported consolidated net incomeQ4 2026$1.29 bn
    Average shares, including potential dilutionQ4 20260.23 bn shares

    Reported diluted EPS

    $
    Diluted EPS
    Reported diluted EPSThe published provider EPS field. No ADR, currency or adjusted-earnings conversion is inferred. Unit: $.$5.9$4.2$2.4$0.6-$1.2Q1 2024 · Diluted EPS: -$0.88Q2 2024 · Diluted EPS: -$0.09Q3 2024 · Diluted EPS: $0.12Q4 2024 · Diluted EPS: $2.35Q1 2025 · Diluted EPS: $1.41Q2 2025 · Diluted EPS: $1.55Q3 2025 · Diluted EPS: $1.57Q4 2025 · Diluted EPS: $2.23Q1 2026 · Diluted EPS: $2.43Q2 2026 · Diluted EPS: $2.6Q3 2026 · Diluted EPS: $3.27Q4 2026 · Diluted EPS: $5.55Q1 2024Q3 2024Q1 2025Q4 2025Q2 2026Q4 2026Reported diluted EPSThe published provider EPS field. No ADR, currency or adjusted-earnings conversion is inferred. Unit: $.$5.9$4.2$2.4$0.6-$1.2Q1 2024 · Diluted EPS: -$0.88Q2 2024 · Diluted EPS: -$0.09Q3 2024 · Diluted EPS: $0.12Q4 2024 · Diluted EPS: $2.35Q1 2025 · Diluted EPS: $1.41Q2 2025 · Diluted EPS: $1.55Q3 2025 · Diluted EPS: $1.57Q4 2025 · Diluted EPS: $2.23Q1 2026 · Diluted EPS: $2.43Q2 2026 · Diluted EPS: $2.6Q3 2026 · Diluted EPS: $3.27Q4 2026 · Diluted EPS: $5.55Q1 2024Q3 2025Q4 2026

    The published provider EPS field. No ADR, currency or adjusted-earnings conversion is inferred.

    View chart data
    Reported diluted EPS
    PeriodDiluted EPS ($)
    Q1 2024-$0.88
    Q2 2024-$0.09
    Q3 2024$0.12
    Q4 2024$2.35
    Q1 2025$1.41
    Q2 2025$1.55
    Q3 2025$1.57
    Q4 2025$2.23
    Q1 2026$2.43
    Q2 2026$2.6
    Q3 2026$3.27
    Q4 2026$5.55

    10.Cash flow

    For the reported July-ending fiscal quarter, operating cash flow increased against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. Gross cash purchases of property, plant and equipment also increased against that baseline, while cash remaining after those purchases improved.

    For the trailing twelve months ended at quarter-end, operating cash flow exceeded gross cash purchases of property, plant and equipment. The resulting measure excludes equipment sales, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments. It is not Seagate’s issuer-defined free cash flow.

    For the latest fiscal year ended in July, the annual filing reports dividends and share repurchases alongside operating cash generation. These uses of cash must be considered separately from investment in manufacturing assets and advanced storage technology.

    Published financial metrics and reporting periods
    MetricPeriodValue
    Cash generated by operationsTTM 2026-07-03$3.67 bn
    Cash after investmentsTTM 2026-07-03$3.11 bn
    Cash generated by operationsQ4 2026$1.31 bn
    Building and equipment investmentsQ4 2026$0.19 bn
    Cash after investmentsQ4 2026$1.12 bn

    Cash generated versus cash invested

    $ bn
    Operating cash flowGross cash PPE purchasesOCF less gross PPE purchases
    Cash generated versus cash investedMassive reported quarterly operating cash flow less gross cash PPE purchases, calculated in code. PPE sales, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments are excluded. This is separate from a broader issuer-defined productive-assets cash measure. Missing fields remain unavailable. Unit: $ bn.$1.41$1.04$0.67$0.3-$0.08Q1 2025 · Operating cash flow: $0.1 bnQ2 2025 · Operating cash flow: $0.22 bnQ3 2025 · Operating cash flow: $0.26 bnQ4 2025 · Operating cash flow: $0.51 bnQ1 2026 · Operating cash flow: $0.53 bnQ2 2026 · Operating cash flow: $0.72 bnQ3 2026 · Operating cash flow: $1.11 bnQ4 2026 · Operating cash flow: $1.31 bnQ1 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.07 bnQ2 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.07 bnQ3 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.04 bnQ4 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.08 bnQ1 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.11 bnQ2 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.12 bnQ3 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.16 bnQ4 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.19 bnQ1 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.03 bnQ2 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.15 bnQ3 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.22 bnQ4 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.43 bnQ1 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.43 bnQ2 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.61 bnQ3 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.95 bnQ4 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $1.12 bnQ1 2025Q2 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q3 2026Q4 2026Cash generated versus cash investedMassive reported quarterly operating cash flow less gross cash PPE purchases, calculated in code. PPE sales, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments are excluded. This is separate from a broader issuer-defined productive-assets cash measure. Missing fields remain unavailable. Unit: $ bn.$1.41$1.04$0.67$0.3-$0.08Q1 2025 · Operating cash flow: $0.1 bnQ2 2025 · Operating cash flow: $0.22 bnQ3 2025 · Operating cash flow: $0.26 bnQ4 2025 · Operating cash flow: $0.51 bnQ1 2026 · Operating cash flow: $0.53 bnQ2 2026 · Operating cash flow: $0.72 bnQ3 2026 · Operating cash flow: $1.11 bnQ4 2026 · Operating cash flow: $1.31 bnQ1 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.07 bnQ2 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.07 bnQ3 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.04 bnQ4 2025 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.08 bnQ1 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.11 bnQ2 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.12 bnQ3 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.16 bnQ4 2026 · Gross cash PPE purchases: $0.19 bnQ1 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.03 bnQ2 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.15 bnQ3 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.22 bnQ4 2025 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.43 bnQ1 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.43 bnQ2 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.61 bnQ3 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $0.95 bnQ4 2026 · OCF less gross PPE purchases: $1.12 bnQ1 2025Q1 2026Q4 2026

    Massive reported quarterly operating cash flow less gross cash PPE purchases, calculated in code. PPE sales, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments are excluded. This is separate from a broader issuer-defined productive-assets cash measure. Missing fields remain unavailable.

    View chart data
    Cash generated versus cash invested
    PeriodOperating cash flow ($ bn)Gross cash PPE purchases ($ bn)OCF less gross PPE purchases ($ bn)
    Q1 2025$0.1$0.07$0.03
    Q2 2025$0.22$0.07$0.15
    Q3 2025$0.26$0.04$0.22
    Q4 2025$0.51$0.08$0.43
    Q1 2026$0.53$0.11$0.43
    Q2 2026$0.72$0.12$0.61
    Q3 2026$1.11$0.16$0.95
    Q4 2026$1.31$0.19$1.12

    11.Balance sheet

    At the July quarter-end, cash exceeded current borrowings but remained below combined current borrowings and noncurrent debt and capital lease obligations. Most reported borrowing obligations were noncurrent.

    The latest annual filing also identifies long-term, market-share-based inventory purchase commitments that cannot be cancelled. Those commitments can restrict spending flexibility if customer requirements change.

    A major customer accounted for a material share of the latest fiscal year’s revenue. Limited component suppliers, tariffs and currency movements add exposure on the production side.

    Published financial metrics and reporting periods
    MetricPeriodValue
    Cash and readily available funds2026-07-03$1.7 bn
    Short-term investments2026-07-03$0 bn
    Short-term debt2026-07-03$0.19 bn
    Long-term debt and leases2026-07-03$3.38 bn

    12.Valuation

    The current analyst targets and SPY comparison are shown in Our verdict.

    View the current assessment

    13.What we are watching

    Watch whether nearline demand and pricing continue to support revenue, and whether new storage products retain their competitive appeal as rival offerings arrive.

    The clearest evidence of resilience will be operating profitability backed by cash after gross equipment purchases, alongside manageable borrowing and inventory commitments. Customer concentration and component availability deserve attention even when reported results are strong.