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    Verdict: Invest

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    NASDAQ · United States

    Arm Holdings (ARM)

    Semiconductors

    High QualityTimely Buy
    Annual evaluation
    $227.80
    Close
    Oct 16, 2026
    -6.94% last session
    Operating margin
    18.3%
    2026-03-31
    PRICE PERFORMANCE

    1.Share price

    $244.79+$74.12 (+43.43%)from period start
    Daily closing prices$480$341$203$64Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26

    Daily closes, adjusted for stock splits. Price return excludes dividends. Hover or tap to explore.

    OUR VERDICT

    2.Our verdict

    Yes — we would buy at this price.

    We like Arm because it sits at the heart of the smartphone computing ecosystem. Its customers turn Arm’s intellectual property into chips, and those shipments keep the royalty engine running. Building its own processor products is an exciting chance to bring that design expertise directly to market.

    Analysts’ average target is $290.71, 27.6% above the $227.80 reference price on Oct 16, 2026.

    Assessed at $227.80 · 12-month horizon

    Analyst price targets · 12 months

    Published analyst targets, compared with our dated share price.

    Average target
    $290.71
    Price potential
    +27.6%
    Analysts
    43
    Low–high range
    $125.00$500.00
    Historical SPY reference · 5 years
    +11.1%
    Average target versus SPY hurdle
    16.5 pp
    Buy threshold below
    $241.98

    Why now

    • The company delivers the operating progress reflected in analyst expectations.

    What would change our view

    • Analyst targets or the reported financial position deteriorate.
    RESEARCH AT PUBLICATION

    3.Investment case at publication

    Arm’s royalty engine funds a broader processor ambition

    Revenue and operating cash improved in the latest reported fiscal year, while heavier research spending restrained operating profit growth.

    Arm combines a deeply established role in smartphone processors with a licensing model that earns royalties as customers ship chips. Its announced move into its own processor products creates a new business opportunity, but also makes investment discipline and customer relationships more important.

    1. Arm earns license fees and shipment royalties from an architecture embedded across smartphones and other battery-powered devices.

    2. Annual revenue increased, but heavier research and development spending reduced the operating margin.

    3. Stronger operating cash supported higher equipment spending, while the announced processor-product expansion introduces new execution and customer risks.

    4.Latest annual results

    The latest available results cover the fiscal year ending in March, not a recent quarter. Massive’s annual statements show higher revenue, operating profit and net income than in the preceding fiscal year. Complete quarterly income and cash-flow history is unavailable.

    The central change was faster spending on research and development. That investment absorbed much of the additional gross profit, so operating profit grew more slowly than revenue and the operating margin narrowed.

    Published financial metrics and reporting periods
    MetricPeriodValue
    Operating margin2026-03-3118.3%
    Profit margin2026-03-3118.4%

    5.The business

    Arm develops and licenses processor architecture and chip designs.

    We like Arm because it sits at the heart of the smartphone computing ecosystem. Its customers turn Arm’s intellectual property into chips, and those shipments keep the royalty engine running. Building its own processor products is an exciting chance to bring that design expertise directly to market.

    Customers can license ready-made designs or obtain architectural licenses that allow greater customization. Apple and Qualcomm are examples of architectural customers. Both customer types pay royalties when they ship chips, giving Arm revenue from licensing access and from the commercial use of its technology.

    6.Growth

    Arm’s growth depends on customers adopting its technology and shipping products that use it. Its architecture is deeply established in smartphone processors and also has a strong presence in wearables, tablets and sensors. Shipment royalties link the business to demand for those devices.

    The announced plan to launch Arm’s own processor products broadens the opportunity beyond licensing. It also introduces a different execution challenge: delivering products while continuing to serve customers that build their own chips. The available annual figures do not separate license revenue from royalties, so they cannot establish which stream drove the latest growth.

    7.Profitability

    Arm’s reported cost of revenue remained broadly unchanged as sales increased. This left substantial gross profit available to fund engineering and administration. The licensing business earns money from intellectual property rather than from selling each customer’s finished chip.

    Research and development is the largest reported operating expense and rose sharply in the latest fiscal year. Administrative spending also increased. The resulting pressure on operating margin shows that strong gross profitability does not automatically translate into equally strong operating profit growth.

    8.Earnings

    Reported net income and diluted earnings per share increased in the latest fiscal year. Operating profit improved, but the change in earnings also reflected items outside the core licensing operation.

    Other income moved from a loss to a gain, while interest income declined. An income-tax expense replaced the preceding year’s tax benefit. These changes matter when judging the source of earnings growth, because the net result was not driven solely by operating performance. The underlying components of other income are not available.

    9.Cash flow

    Cash generated by operations recovered strongly after weakening in the preceding fiscal year. Changes in operating assets and liabilities still absorbed cash, but the drag eased. Other operating adjustments also contributed, although their composition is not disclosed in the available statements.

    Spending on property, plant and equipment increased substantially. Operating cash covered that spending, and cash balances rose after investing and financing outflows. Other investing activities provided an offset to equipment purchases, but their purpose is not identified. The figures therefore show stronger cash generation without establishing how each investment relates to the processor-product plan.

    10.Balance sheet

    Arm ended the fiscal year with higher cash and short-term investments. Current assets comfortably exceeded current liabilities, and the reported balance sheet carried no debt. This gives the business financial flexibility as it increases investment.

    Receivables and other current assets also grew, making cash collection worth watching alongside revenue. The cash-flow statement reports financing outflows under other financing activities without explaining their composition. Those outflows should not be labeled as buybacks or another specific transaction.

    11.Valuation

    The current analyst targets and SPY comparison are shown in Our verdict.

    View the current assessment

    12.What we are watching

    Watch how Arm turns its processor-product announcement into a defined commercial offering. Product delivery and the response from licensing customers are key milestones. Selling its own processors could create tension with customers that use Arm technology to develop competing chips.

    The financial developments to follow are research spending, operating margin and cash collection. Arm has demonstrated that revenue growth can fund substantial investment. The next test is whether that investment strengthens the franchise without weakening the customer relationships that support its royalties.