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Oct 19, 2026
- Reported revenue
- $6.86 bn Q2 2026
- Annual revenue growth
- 11.5% Q2 2026
- Operating margin
- 40.3% Q2 2026
- Reported P/E
- 23.21× 2026-10-14
1.Share price
Daily closes, adjusted for stock splits. Price return excludes dividends. Hover or tap to explore.
2.Company news
View allUnion Pacific’s June freight gains come with a margin trade-off
The railroad earned more than in the same fiscal quarter of the prior year, but operating costs took a larger share of revenue.
3.Our verdict
Waiting for a better price
The published targets do not meet our required upside.
Analyst price targets · 12 months
Published analyst targets, compared with our dated share price.
- Average target
- $327.63
- Price potential
- +14.2%
- Analysts
- 25
- Low–high range
- $245.00$375.00
- Historical SPY reference · 5 years
- +11.1%
- Average target versus SPY hurdle
- 3 pp
- Buy threshold below
- $284.58
Why now
- The company delivers the operating progress reflected in analyst expectations.
What would change our view
- Analyst targets or the reported financial position deteriorate.
4.Investment case at publication
Union Pacific’s freight network earns more, but keeps less of each revenue dollar
The western railroad delivered higher revenue and earnings in the June fiscal quarter, while its margin showed why traffic quality and operating discipline still matter.
Union Pacific’s integrated network provides a strong platform for serving industrial, agricultural and container freight customers. The business generates substantial operating cash after gross equipment purchases, but maintaining that strength requires dependable service, sustained investment and careful financing.
Revenue, operating income and diluted earnings per share rose against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year, but operating margin declined.
Reported-quarter operating cash flow exceeded gross cash purchases of property, plant and equipment, leaving cash for other obligations.
Competition, equipment-supplier dependence and potential rail-rule changes remain material risks despite the network’s strengths.
5.Latest quarter
Union Pacific carried more revenue into profit in the fiscal quarter ended June. Reported revenue, operating income and diluted earnings per share increased against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year, according to Massive’s consolidated statements.
The economic result was less uniform than the earnings growth suggests. Operating margin, meaning the share of revenue left after operating expenses, declined against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. It improved against the preceding fiscal quarter, so the annual and sequential comparisons tell different stories.
| Metric | Period | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Reported revenue | Q2 2026 | $6.86 bn |
| Annual revenue growth | Q2 2026 | 11.5% |
| Reported operating income | Q2 2026 | $2.76 bn |
| Operating margin | Q2 2026 | 40.3% |
| Profit per share, after dilution | Q2 2026 | $3.36 |
6.The business
Union Pacific earns money by hauling freight across the western United States.
We like this business because its tracks connect the goods that keep industry moving: crops, chemicals, vehicles and containers. This is a powerful transport platform, and its strongest opportunity is making that network an even more dependable choice for shippers. Reliable journeys turn a vast collection of rail assets into a service customers can build their operations around.
Mexico is also an important part of the business. Union Pacific carries cross-border freight and owns a stake in Ferromex. Its earlier annual filing describes the railroad as an integrated operating segment, rather than a collection of separate commodity businesses.
7.Growth
Reported-quarter revenue increased against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. The consolidated statements do not separate that increase into shipment volumes, freight prices, fuel surcharges or traffic mix, so the immediate source of growth remains unresolved.
The latest annual filing provides useful background, not an explanation of the current quarter. Freight revenue rose in the latest annual fiscal period against the preceding annual fiscal period, supported by core pricing gains and higher volumes. Lower fuel-surcharge revenue and a shift toward lower-revenue freight partly offset those gains.
Revenue history
$ bnConsolidated reported quarterly revenue; compare the same fiscal quarter across years.
View chart data
| Period | Revenue ($ bn) |
|---|---|
| Q3 2023 | $5.94 |
| Q4 2023 | $6.16 |
| Q1 2024 | $6.03 |
| Q2 2024 | $6.01 |
| Q3 2024 | $6.09 |
| Q4 2024 | $6.12 |
| Q1 2025 | $6.03 |
| Q2 2025 | $6.15 |
| Q3 2025 | $6.24 |
| Q4 2025 | $6.09 |
| Q1 2026 | $6.22 |
| Q2 2026 | $6.86 |
8.Profitability
Operating profit increased against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year, but operating expenses absorbed more of each revenue dollar. That distinction matters for a railroad whose network and equipment require continuing support even when freight demand changes.
Service quality is an economic issue as well as an operating issue. The latest annual filing identifies competition from trucks and other railroads on price, transit time and reliability. Strong profitability therefore needs dependable execution, not simply a large footprint.
Operating margin
%Reported consolidated operating income divided by revenue. Missing provider fields remain unavailable.
View chart data
| Period | Operating margin (%) |
|---|---|
| Q3 2023 | 36.64 |
| Q4 2023 | 39.08 |
| Q1 2024 | 39.33 |
| Q2 2024 | 39.95 |
| Q3 2024 | 39.67 |
| Q4 2024 | 41.25 |
| Q1 2025 | 39.34 |
| Q2 2025 | 41.03 |
| Q3 2025 | 40.82 |
| Q4 2025 | 39.46 |
| Q1 2026 | 39.54 |
| Q2 2026 | 40.25 |
9.Earnings
Reported diluted earnings per share increased against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. This measure spreads earnings across the diluted weighted-average share count; it is not an adjusted earnings figure.
The reported quarter also included other non-operating income. That income is separate from the profit earned by running the railroad. The latest annual filing reports share repurchases in that annual fiscal period, but the evidence does not establish their contribution to the current quarter’s earnings-per-share growth.
| Metric | Period | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Other non-operating income | Q2 2026 | $0.11 bn |
| Reported consolidated net income | Q2 2026 | $1.99 bn |
| Average shares, including potential dilution | Q2 2026 | 0.59 bn shares |
Reported diluted EPS
$The published provider EPS field. No ADR, currency or adjusted-earnings conversion is inferred.
View chart data
| Period | Diluted EPS ($) |
|---|---|
| Q3 2023 | $2.51 |
| Q4 2023 | $2.71 |
| Q1 2024 | $2.69 |
| Q2 2024 | $2.74 |
| Q3 2024 | $2.75 |
| Q4 2024 | $2.91 |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7 |
| Q2 2025 | $3.15 |
| Q3 2025 | $3.01 |
| Q4 2025 | $3.11 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.87 |
| Q2 2026 | $3.36 |
10.Cash flow
For the reported fiscal quarter ended June, operating cash flow increased and gross cash purchases of property, plant and equipment declined against the same fiscal quarter of the prior year. Cash remaining after those gross purchases consequently increased against that same baseline.
For the trailing twelve months ended at June quarter-end, operating cash flow also exceeded gross cash equipment purchases. This derived cash measure excludes equipment-sale proceeds, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments. It is not Union Pacific’s issuer-defined free cash flow.
In the latest annual fiscal period, Union Pacific defined free cash flow as operating cash flow less cash used in investing activities and dividends paid. That broader definition should not be confused with the quarterly or trailing cash-after-gross-purchases measure.
| Metric | Period | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Cash generated by operations | TTM 2026-06-30 | $10.26 bn |
| Cash after investments | TTM 2026-06-30 | $6.5 bn |
| Cash generated by operations | Q2 2026 | $3.08 bn |
| Building and equipment investments | Q2 2026 | $0.87 bn |
| Cash after investments | Q2 2026 | $2.2 bn |
Cash generated versus cash invested
$ bnMassive reported quarterly operating cash flow less gross cash PPE purchases, calculated in code. PPE sales, intangible investments, leases and noncash commitments are excluded. This is separate from a broader issuer-defined productive-assets cash measure. Missing fields remain unavailable.
View chart data
| Period | Operating cash flow ($ bn) | Gross cash PPE purchases ($ bn) | OCF less gross PPE purchases ($ bn) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | $2.65 | $0.83 | $1.82 |
| Q4 2024 | $2.66 | $0.92 | $1.74 |
| Q1 2025 | $2.21 | $0.91 | $1.3 |
| Q2 2025 | $2.33 | $0.94 | $1.4 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.52 | $0.95 | $1.57 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.23 | $1 | $1.23 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.44 | $0.94 | $1.5 |
| Q2 2026 | $3.08 | $0.87 | $2.2 |
11.Balance sheet
At June quarter-end, Union Pacific held cash and short-term investments alongside current borrowings and substantial noncurrent debt and capital lease obligations. Its financing needs cannot be judged from cash holdings alone.
The latest annual filing says the railroad relies on capital markets for part of its capital requirements. It also reports debt repayments, dividends and share repurchases during that annual fiscal period. Those uses of money must coexist with investment needed to operate a safe, efficient railroad.
Dependence on key locomotive and rail suppliers adds another constraint. The filing explains that sophisticated equipment and maintenance create barriers for new suppliers, which can limit purchasing flexibility.
| Metric | Period | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Cash and readily available funds | 2026-06-30 | $1.61 bn |
| Short-term investments | 2026-06-30 | $0.5 bn |
| Short-term debt | 2026-06-30 | $1.29 bn |
| Long-term debt and leases | 2026-06-30 | $29.04 bn |
12.Valuation
The current analyst targets and SPY comparison are shown in Our verdict.
View the current assessment13.What we are watching
Watch whether revenue growth comes with better operating margins and dependable service. A clearer split between prices, shipment volumes and traffic mix would help establish the character of that growth.
Investment and financing deserve equal attention. Lower quarterly gross equipment purchases do not establish a lasting reduction in capital needs. The latest annual filing also identifies Surface Transportation Board reviews involving reciprocal switching and commodity exemptions, making the eventual rules and their operating implications worth following.